Saturday, September 18, 2004

Ichiro! Watch, 9/18 Edition

Hits: 235
Games Remaining: 15
AB/G: 4.36
Projected ABs Remaining: 65
Hits/Average Needed to Break Record: 23, .354
Average Needed to Break Record in 154 Games: .742
Average Since July 18: .447
Hits/ Average Needed to Hit .400: 46, .696

Next Five Games' Pitching Probables:

(R) T. Hudson, 3.36 ERA, 7.0 IP/ST, .267 BAA; IchiAVG: .208 (11-53)
(L) M. Redman, 4.94 ERA, 6.0 IP/ST, .268 BAA; IchiAVG: .381 (8-21)
(R) J. Lackey, 4.67 ERA, 6.0+ IP/ST, .276 BAA; IchiAVG: .207 (6-29)
(R) A. Sele, 4.88 ERA, 5.0+ IP/ST, .304 BAA; IchiAVG: .588 (10-17)
(R) B. Colon, 5.08 ERA, 6.0+ IP/ST, .268 BAA; IchiAVG: .375 (9-24)

Aggregate IchiAVG vs. Next Five Pitching Probables: .306 (44-144)

Aggregate IchiAVG Against Anaheim Relievers: .275 (14-51)
Aggregate IchiAVG Against Oakland Relievers: .380 (19-50)

Pete's Prediction for Hits Over Next 5 Games: 7, leaving 43 projected ABs to get 16 hits (.372) to break George Sisler's record. To have a decent chance, Ichiro! will have to do better than one would expect against one or both of Hudson and Lackey, and continue to rake the other three . . ..

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